'Not moving': why those in the auto industry predict a rough ride for Canadians in 2023
Whether you're interested in buying, renting or repairing, automotive experts are warning Canadians entering the vehicle market to bring extra money -- and patience.
Ongoing supply chain issues impacting inventory and pricing have slowed somewhat, but data suggests it could still be a rough ride for prospective car buyers deep into 2023.
BUYING
Buying a new vehicle is a lot more expensive than it used to be, and a large chunk of that can be blamed on a slow supply chain.
The semiconductor chip shortage that has punished the auto sector since 2020 is still around, which is impacting supply and driving prices sky high.
A November report from Statistics Canada says over the first 11 months of 2022, 6.9 per cent fewer new vehicles were sold in Alberta. The same report says the average price rose 10 per cent over the same period.
"The shortages is an ongoing problem," ATB Financial economist Rob Roach said. "It hasn't worked itself out yet. I think there's a light at the end of the tunnel, but it might still take a large portion of this year before supply is really able to bounce back."
Until then, expect new and used lots to remain half-full, and price tags to remain eye-popping.
Roach tells CTV News he believes it could take until 2024 for the sales market to look somewhat normal once again.
"Higher interest rates and borrowing costs will start to bite into demand because it'll just be more expensive to finance," he predicted.
RENTING
Rental agencies are also having a tough time.
In the early months of the pandemic, operators reduced their inventory, anticipating a drop off in demand.
But when travel demand shot back up in the summer of 2021, rental car companies couldn't get enough vehicles in time to meet the need.
Because of persisting demand problems, many lots are still not replenished. And trying to do so can be costly.
"What's happening lately is a lot of the fleets are being purchased at much higher cost structures than traditional," Associated Canadian Car Rental Operators' Craig Hirota said. "It's going to really force the industry to try to maintain pricing at higher than historical levels."
That's led to a slow winter season for operators, and not a lot in the way of optimism approaching spring.
"I think supplies will be still tight, but they will be better than they were last year and the year before," Hirota said. "It's been hard."
REPAIRING
Many Canadians hoping to avoid the buying and renting markets have decided to upgrade their current vehicles.
But parts aren't immune from the messy supply chain.
In many places across Canada, the cost to have parts shipped exceeds the price to make the repair.
"Our margins are slim to none," Mechanigo Auto Repair owner Nav Khiljie said. "And we don't want to turn around and tell the customers that their price is way up. That's not fair for them."
Khiljie says shipment delays have also put him in a tricky spot.
Much of his time is spent explaining to Calgarians that their problems aren't stemming from anything he's doing -- or anything other local shops are.
"We're trying to cater to customers, but right now we don't know when we are going to get supply," he said. "We're kind of stuck."
SOLUTIONS?
Natural solutions could be on the way, but industry experts reiterate 2023 will be a bumpy trip.
Their advice to consumers looking to buy, rent or repair: if possible, shop around.
The market is flush with options, and planning ahead of time should give Canadians the leeway they need to find the right place -- and way -- to spend their money.
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
DEVELOPING Live updates as Stormy Daniels testifies at Trump hush money trial
Adult film star Stormy Daniels will take the stand a second time Thursday as former U.S. president Donald Trump’s hush money case continues in Manhattan. Follow live updates here.
BREAKING Toronto Maple Leafs fire head coach Sheldon Keefe
The Toronto Maple Leafs have fired head coach Sheldon Keefe. The team made the announcement Thursday after the Original Six franchise lost to the Boston Bruins in seven games in the first round of the Stanley Cup playoffs.
Bank of Canada says financial system is stable, but risks remain
The Bank of Canada says the Canadian financial system is stable, but risks remain due to debt servicing costs among households and businesses and stretched valuations of financial assets.
Why these immigrants to Canada say they're thinking about leaving, or have already moved on
For some immigrants, their dreams of permanently settling in Canada have taken an unexpected twist.
Here are the ultraprocessed foods you most need to avoid, according to a 30-year study
Studies have shown that ultraprocessed foods can have a detrimental impact on health. But 30 years of research show they don’t all have the same impact.
Court to hear about search for remains as Winnipeg murder trial enters second day
A courtroom in Winnipeg is expected to hear testimony today about the search for the remains of the four victims of Jeremy Skibicki.
Capital gains tax change 'shortsighted' and 'sows division' business groups tell Freeland
Forging ahead with increasing Canada's capital gains inclusion rate 'sows division,' and is a 'shortsighted' way to improve the deficit, business groups are warning Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland.
Ontario man frustrated after $3,500 paving job leaves driveway in shambles
An Ontario man considering having his driveway paved received a quote from a company for $7,000, but then, another paver in the neighbourhood knocked on his door and offered half that rate.
'We can and we must do better': First ever Air Accessibility Summit hits Ottawa
Federal ministers, airline executives and members of the disability community are gathering in Ottawa today for the first ever Air Accessibility Summit.